Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
Fulltext available Open Access
Publisher URL:
Title: Urban flood prevention based on ensemble precipitation forecasts
Language: English
Authors: Einfalt, Thomas 
Hellmers, Sandra  
Jasper-Tönnies, Alrun 
Keywords: basin control; ensemble forecast; flood warning; online simulation; operational warning system
Issue Date: Jul-2019
Publisher: Graie, Groupe de Recherche, Animation technique et Information sur l'eau, Campus LyonTech La Doua
Source: NOVATECH (2019-07)
Abstract (english): 
Sophisticated strategies are required for flood warning in urban areas regarding convective heavy rainfall events. An approach is presented to improve short-term precipitation forecasts by combining ensembles of radar nowcasts with the numerical weather predictions COSMO-DE-EPS of the German Weather Service. The combined ensemble forecasts are produced operationally every 5 min. Applications involve the Flood Warning Service Hamburg (WaBiHa) and real-time hydrological simulations with the model KalypsoHydrology. Ensemble forecast flood hydrographs for the urban catchment Kollau are presented in this work. The range and quantiles are illustrated for a convective storm event in summer 2016. A flood management measure is improved by using precipitation forecasts in a flood control reservoir.
Conference: NOVATECH 2019 
DOI: 10.15480/882.3455
ISBN: 978-2-917199-09-1
Institute: Wasserbau B-10 
Document Type: Chapter/Article (Proceedings)
Project: ReWaM - Verbundprojekt StucK: Sicherstellung der Entwässerung küstennaher urbaner Räume unter Berücksichtigung des Klimawandels, Teilprojekt 3 
License: In Copyright In Copyright
Appears in Collections:Publications with fulltext

Files in This Item:
Show full item record

Page view(s)

Last Week
Last month
checked on May 29, 2023


checked on May 29, 2023

Google ScholarTM


Note about this record

Cite this record


Items in TORE are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.