Hellmers, SandraSandraHellmersStrehz, AlexanderAlexanderStrehzLeese, Nina SophieNina SophieLeeseEinfalt, ThomasThomasEinfaltFröhle, PeterPeterFröhle2021-04-162021-04-162016http://hdl.handle.net/11420/9293Especially in urban areas, improved strategies are required to assess the influence of small scale precipitation patterns of local heavy rainfall events in a flood warning context. The results of the case study show a wide range of possible precipitation scenarios given by the radar nowcast ensemble members for a local rainfall event. This reflects the large uncertainty in predicting discharge curves. The first steps of the project StucK (2015 till 2018) are presented here: (1) developing a methodology to compute ensemble nowcasts of local heavy rainfall events, (2) integration of small scale radar rainfall nowcasts in a Rainfall-Runoff Model and (3) first approach with percentiles to optimize the Flood Warning Service Hamburg. Within the project different statistical approaches will be analysed to improve the online forecast system.enhttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/EnsemblesRadar DataRainfall Runoff ModellingUrban Flood ManagementGeowissenschaftenIngenieurwissenschaftenLandschaftsgestaltung, RaumplanungResearch Report10.15480/882.343610.15480/882.3436Research Report