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    Item type:Publication, Access status: with files ,
    Judgmental biases in the evaluation of innovations: experiments with information markets
    The focus of this work is to create a more thorough understanding about the impact of judgmental biases on the evaluation of innovation via information markets. We empirically study the impact of overconfidence on the evaluation of innovation via information markets in two experiments. The first experiment investigates the impact of overconfidence on individual behavior in the context of information markets. The second experiment investigates the impact of overconfidence on the prediction quality of information markets and their participants.
    Publicationtype: Doctoral Thesis
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