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Item type:Publication, Access status: without files , Scenario-based risk management for arctic waters(American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), 2022-06); ; ; ; Arctic shipping is growing driven by a demand for natural resources, climate change, and technological development, among other factors. While this provides many benefits for society, it also entails risks for people, the environment, and property. The purpose of this article is to assist ship designers, operators, owners, and other stakeholders in managing those risks by defining a comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters. The approach covers both the management of short-Term operational risks, as well as of risks related to a ship's long-Term extreme (design) ice loads and structural response. For operational risk management, a further developed version of the established Polar Operational Limitations Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) method is defined. In contrast to the established method, the further developed version considers the consequences of potential accidental events. For managing risks related to a ship?s long-Term extreme ice loads and structural response, guidelines are provided for the application of existing methods of assessing ice loads, including analytical, numerical, and semiempirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, a new approach based on closed-form expressions is defined that can be used in the conceptual design phase to determine preliminary scantlings of primary hull structural members (e.g., transverse web frames).Publicationtype: Conference Paper26 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Access status: with files , A comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters(Taylor & Francis, 2022-03-22); ; ; ; While society benefits from Arctic shipping, it is necessary to recognize that ship operations in Arctic waters pose significant risks to people, the environment, and property. To support the management of those risks, this article presents a comprehensive approach addressing both short-term operational risks, as well as risks related to long-term extreme ice loads. For the management of short-term operational risks, an extended version of the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) considering the magnitude of the consequences of potential adverse events is proposed. For the management of risks related to long-term extreme ice loads, guidelines are provided for using existing analytical, numerical, and semi-empirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, the article proposes a novel approach that can be used in the conceptual design phase for the determination of preliminary scantlings for primary hull structural members.Publicationtype: Journal ArticleScopus© Citations 11 48 275 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Access status: without files , Development of environmental contours for first-year ice ridge statistics(2020-11); ; ; ; Ice ridges represent a major threat to ships and offshore structures in areas with sea ice but no icebergs, since they frequently determine and govern the structural design loads. This work focuses on the development of environmental contours for first-year sea ice ridge statistics, which are able to represent the key parameters that will influence the extreme loads that would be acting on ice-capable vessels sailing in Arctic regions. Based on the inverse first order reliability method (IFORM), the development of environmental contours to be applied for the reliability-based design of ice-capable vessels in Arctic regions is elaborated. The number of relevant parameters and hence the dimension of the space containing the environmental contour will depend on the particular ice-vessel interaction model that is to be applied. Furthermore, the influence from the degree of correlation between the environmental parameters as well as from the number of ship-ice ridge interaction during the voyage on the environmental contour shapes are studied.Publicationtype: Journal Article95