An approach to forecast air traffic movements at capacity-constrained airports

Publikationstyp
Conference Paper
Publikationsdatum
2014-06-13
Sprache
English
Author
Wenzel, Steffen 
Kölker, Katrin 
Bießlich, Peter 
Lütjens, Klaus 
Institut
Lufttransportsysteme M-28 
TORE-URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11420/9622
Citation
AIAA AVIATION 2014 -14th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference. - American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2014.
Contribution to Conference
14th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, AIAA AVIATION 2014 
Publisher DOI
10.2514/6.2014-3145
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85087194324
Publisher
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Due to steadily growing air traffic, airports need a means to evaluate the capability of their infrastructure to handle future air traffic movements. Sound forecasts are needed for fundraising, within lawsuits, and in order to avoid misplanning. The quality of current forecasts is often queried. Hence, this work introduces parts of a tool chain that derives future air traffic movements out of transport scenarios and compares them to the capacity of an airport. Five consecutive models within the chain yield future air traffic movements for one airport considering passenger demand, a forecast of aircraft movements, airline preferences and airport capacity.
DDC Class
380: Handel, Kommunikation, Verkehr