Approach to forecast air-traffic movements at capacity-constrained airports

A model chain being implemented in one tool has been presented to derive a flight plan based on the capacities of the airport and given passenger demand, and applied on Hamburg Airport. Validation shows that, even though every submodel uses certain assumptions and simplifications, the tool chain generates generic flight plans that highly match current sample flight plans. Thus, the tool offers airports the opportunity to easily evaluate existing infrastructure capacity and planned infrastructure extensions regarding future air-traffic movements. Using a modular tool chain analyzing drivers for air-traffic growth, considering airline and passenger preferences, fleet development, and airport capacity, the air-traffic movements are forecasted. By validation of each submodel, a high-quality forecast is achieved. Because of the modularity of the tool chain, every submodel can easily be changed or adapted to prospective developments.

DDC Class

600: Technik

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Approach to forecast air-traffic movements at capacity-constrained airports